trade-hypothesis-ideator

SKILL.md

Trade Hypothesis Ideator

Generate 1-5 structured hypothesis cards from a normalized input bundle, critique and rank them, then optionally export pursue cards into strategy.yaml + metadata.json artifacts.

Workflow

Receive input JSON bundle.

Run pass 1 normalization + evidence extraction.

Generate hypotheses with prompts:

prompts/system_prompt.md

prompts/developer_prompt_template.md (inject {{evidence_summary}})

Critique hypotheses with prompts/critique_prompt_template.md.

Run pass 2 ranking + output formatting + guardrails.

Optionally export pursue hypotheses via Step H strategy exporter.

Scripts

Pass 1 (evidence summary):

python3 skills/trade-hypothesis-ideator/scripts/run_hypothesis_ideator.py \
  --input skills/trade-hypothesis-ideator/examples/example_input.json \
  --output-dir reports/

Pass 2 (rank + output + optional export):

python3 skills/trade-hypothesis-ideator/scripts/run_hypothesis_ideator.py \
  --input skills/trade-hypothesis-ideator/examples/example_input.json \
  --hypotheses reports/raw_hypotheses.json \
  --output-dir reports/ \
  --export-strategies

References

references/hypothesis_types.md

references/evidence_quality_guide.md