propose-hypotheses

SKILL.md

Propose Hypotheses Workflow

Execute the First Principles Framework (FPF) cycle: generate competing hypotheses, verify logic, validate evidence, audit trust, and produce a decision.

User Input

Problem Statement: $ARGUMENTS

Workflow Execution

Step 1a: Create Directory Structure (Main Agent)

Create .fpf/ directory structure if it does not exist:
mkdir -p .fpf/{evidence,decisions,sessions,knowledge/{L0,L1,L2,invalid}}
touch .fpf/{evidence,decisions,sessions,knowledge/{L0,L1,L2,invalid}}/.gitkeep

Postcondition: .fpf/ directory scaffold exists.

Step 1b: Initialize Context (FPF Agent)

Launch fpf-agent with sonnet[1m] model:

Description: "Initialize FPF context"

Prompt:
Read ${CLAUDE_PLUGIN_ROOT}/tasks/init-context.md and execute.

Problem Statement: $ARGUMENTS

**Write**: Context summary to `.fpf/context.md`**

Step 2: Generate Hypotheses (FPF Agent)

Launch fpf-agent with sonnet[1m] model:

Description: "Generate L0 hypotheses"

Prompt:
Read ${CLAUDE_PLUGIN_ROOT}/tasks/generate-hypotheses.md and execute.

Problem Statement: $ARGUMENTS
Context: <summary from Step 1b>

**Write**: List of hypothesis IDs and titles to `.fpf/knowledge/L0/`

Reply with summary table in markdown format:

  | ID | Title | Kind | Scope |
  |----|-------|------|-------|
  | ... | ... | ... | ... |

Step 3: Present Summary (Main Agent)

Read all L0 hypothesis files from .fpf/knowledge/L0/

Present summary table from agent response.

Ask user: "Would you like to add any hypotheses of your own? (yes/no)"

Step 4: Add User Hypothesis (FPF Agent, Conditional Loop)

Condition: User says yes to adding hypotheses.

Launch fpf-agent with sonnet[1m] model:

Description: "Add user hypothesis"

Prompt:
Read ${CLAUDE_PLUGIN_ROOT}/tasks/add-user-hypothesis.md and execute.

User Hypothesis Description: <get from user>

**Write**: User hypothesis to `.fpf/knowledge/L0/`

Loop: Return to Step 3 after hypothesis is added.

Exit: When user says no or declines to add more.

Step 5: Verify Logic (Parallel Sub-Agents)

Condition: User finished adding hypotheses.

For EACH L0 hypothesis file in .fpf/knowledge/L0/, launch parallel fpf-agent with sonnet[1m] model:

Description: "Verify hypothesis: "

Prompt:
Read ${CLAUDE_PLUGIN_ROOT}/tasks/verify-logic.md and execute.

Hypothesis ID: <hypothesis-id>
Hypothesis File: .fpf/knowledge/L0/<hypothesis-id>.md

**Move**: After you complete verification, move the file to `.fpf/knowledge/L1/` or `.fpf/knowledge/invalid/`.

Wait for all agents, then check that files are moved to .fpf/knowledge/L1/ or .fpf/knowledge/invalid/.

Step 6: Validate Evidence (Parallel Sub-Agents)

For EACH L1 hypothesis file in .fpf/knowledge/L1/, launch parallel fpf-agent with sonnet[1m] model:

Description: "Validate hypothesis: "

Prompt:
Read ${CLAUDE_PLUGIN_ROOT}/tasks/validate-evidence.md and execute.

Hypothesis ID: <hypothesis-id>
Hypothesis File: .fpf/knowledge/L1/<hypothesis-id>.md

**Move**: After you complete validation, move the file to `.fpf/knowledge/L2/` or `.fpf/knowledge/invalid/`.

Wait for all agents, then check that files are moved to .fpf/knowledge/L2/ or .fpf/knowledge/invalid/.

Step 7: Audit Trust (Parallel Sub-Agents)

For EACH L2 hypothesis file in .fpf/knowledge/L2/, launch parallel fpf-agent with sonnet[1m] model:

Description: "Audit trust: "

Prompt:
Read ${CLAUDE_PLUGIN_ROOT}/tasks/audit-trust.md and execute.

Hypothesis ID: <hypothesis-id>
Hypothesis File: .fpf/knowledge/L2/<hypothesis-id>.md

**Write**: Audit report to `.fpf/evidence/audit-{hypothesis-id}-{YYYY-MM-DD}.md`

**Reply**: with R_eff score and weakest link

Wait for all agents, then check that audit reports are created in .fpf/evidence/.

Step 8: Make Decision (FPF Agent)

Launch fpf-agent with sonnet[1m] model:

Description: "Create decision record"

Prompt:
Read ${CLAUDE_PLUGIN_ROOT}/tasks/decide.md and execute.

Problem Statement: $ARGUMENTS
L2 Hypotheses Directory: .fpf/knowledge/L2/
Audit Reports: .fpf/evidence/

**Write**: Decision record to `.fpf/decisions/`

**Reply**: with decision record summary in markdown format:

| Hypothesis | R_eff | Weakest Link | Status |
|------------|-------|--------------|--------|
| ... | ... | ... | ... |

**Recommended Decision**: <hypothesis title>

**Rationale**: <brief explanation>

Wait for agent, then check that decision record is created in .fpf/decisions/.

Step 9: Present Final Summary (Main Agent)

Read the DRR from .fpf/decisions/

Present results from agent response.

Present next steps:

Implement the selected hypothesis

Use /fpf:status to check FPF state

Use /fpf:actualize if codebase changes

Ask user if he agree with the decision, if not launch fpf-agent at step 8 with instruction to modify the decision as user wants.

Completion

Workflow complete when:

 .fpf/ directory structure exists

 Context recorded in .fpf/context.md

 Hypotheses generated, verified, validated, and audited

 DRR created in .fpf/decisions/

 Final summary presented to user

Artifacts Created:

.fpf/context.md - Problem context

.fpf/knowledge/L0/*.md - Initial hypotheses

.fpf/knowledge/L1/*.md - Verified hypotheses

.fpf/knowledge/L2/*.md - Validated hypotheses

.fpf/knowledge/invalid/*.md - Rejected hypotheses

.fpf/evidence/*.md - Evidence files

.fpf/decisions/*.md - Design Rationale Record