Record and analyze post-trade outcomes for signals generated by edge pipeline and other skills. Track false positives, missed opportunities, and regime…
Signal Postmortem Overview Signal Postmortem records and analyzes the outcomes of trading signals generated by the edge pipeline, screeners, and other skills. It compares predicted edge direction against 5-day and 20-day realized returns, categorizes outcomes (true positive, false positive, missed opportunity, regime mismatch), and generates feedback for edge-signal-aggregator weight adjustments and skill improvement backlog entries. When to Use After a trade has been closed and you want to record the outcome When reviewing a batch of signals that have reached their holding period (5 or 20 days) To identify systematic false positive patterns from specific skills To generate feedback for edge-signal-aggregator weight calibration When building a skill improvement backlog from decision quality metrics For periodic (weekly/monthly) signal quality audits Prerequisites
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