prediction-market-risk-review

SKILL.md

Prediction Market Risk Review

Use this skill before a prediction-market workflow touches user financial
context, venue authentication, portfolio data, automation, or execution-capable
tools.

Review Gates

Advice Boundary

Confirm the output is informational.

Remove buy/sell/hold/size recommendations.

Keep manual user decision points explicit.

Venue And Regulatory Boundary

Identify venue terms, geography restrictions, account limits, and API rules.

Flag betting, derivatives, securities, or commodities ambiguity for legal
review when relevant.

Do not bypass venue restrictions or rate limits.

Data Quality

Check market liquidity, spread, resolution rules, stale prices, and source
timestamps.

Separate public venue data from Itô gated data.

Do not mix public and private sources without labels.

Security

Do not request or store private keys, seed phrases, or passwords.

Keep ITO_API_KEY and venue API keys out of logs and docs.

Use read-only scopes by default.

Require circuit breakers, spend limits, dry runs, and human approval before
any private implementation adds execution.

Privacy

Minimize user portfolio, financial, and knowledge-base data.

Redact private sources in public artifacts.

Preserve only the fields needed for the review.

Output Contract

Return:

scope reviewed

pass/warn/fail findings

blocked actions

required mitigations

safe next step

If any execution-capable step is requested, require a separate implementation
plan and explicit user approval.
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