Growth Goals

SKILL.md

---
name: Growth Goals
description: Set, track, and cascade measurable ecommerce growth targets across revenue, traffic, conversion, and retention — so your team executes toward the same number.
---

# Growth Goals

Most ecommerce operators set vague growth intentions ("grow 30% this year") that never translate into the daily decisions their teams actually make. Growth Goals gives TikTok Shop sellers, DTC brand operators, and marketplace merchants a structured system for setting SMART growth targets, cascading them into channel-level and metric-level sub-goals, and building a weekly review cadence that keeps the whole operation aligned.

## Solves

- Your team is busy but not moving the revenue needle
- You hit your GMV target but margin was too thin to reinvest
- Q4 panic every year because you didn't build the goal scaffolding in Q1
- You're growing but can't explain which lever drove it
- New channels were added but no one owns the targets for them

## Quick Reference

| Decision | Strong | Acceptable | Weak |
|---|---|---|---|
| Goal timeframe | Annual broken into quarterly + monthly | Quarterly only | Annual only |
| Goal ownership | Each goal has a named owner | Team-owned | No owner |
| Metric selection | Revenue + margin + traffic + CVR + retention | Revenue + 1-2 metrics | Revenue only |
| Review cadence | Weekly 30-min team review | Monthly review | Quarterly or ad hoc |

## Workflow

### Step 1 - Set the Annual Revenue and Margin North Star
Start with a single target: your annual GMV goal AND your net margin target. Write it as: "Achieve $X GMV at >=Y% net margin by [date]."

### Step 2 - Decompose into the Four Growth Levers
Break your GMV goal into its four drivers: Traffic, CVR, AoV, Repeat Rate. Use the formula: GMV = Sessions x CVR x AOV x (1 + Repeat Rate).

### Step 3 - Set Channel-Level Goals
Allocate revenue contribution targets across your channels based on where each is in its maturity curve.

### Step 4 - Create Monthly Milestones
Break your annual goal into 12 monthly milestones using a seasonality-adjusted curve.

### Step 5 - Assign Ownership
Every goal needs one named owner. Build a tracker with goal, owner, current value, target, status, next action.

### Step 6 - Run the Weekly Growth Review
Every week (same day and time, 30 minutes), review each goal's status.

### Step 7 - Quarterly Goal Recalibration
Every quarter, review whether your annual goal is still realistic.

## Examples

### Example 1 - TikTok Shop Brand: $500K to $1.2M Annual GMV

North Star: $1.2M GMV at >=18% net margin by Dec 31.
Lever decomposition: Sessions 80K to 160K/mo, CVR 2.1% to 2.8%, AOV $38 to $44, Repeat Rate 22% to 30%.
Channel targets: TikTok Shop 70% ($840K), Shopify 20% ($240K), Amazon 10% ($120K).

### Example 2 - Amazon Multi-SKU Seller: Margin-First Goals

New goal: grow GMV 20% while restoring margin to 20%. Set a mandatory gate - no new ad spend increases until TACOS drops below 15%.

## Common Mistakes

1. Setting goals without baselines - baseline every metric first
2. GMV without margin - always pair revenue goals with margin guardrails
3. Annual goals with no monthly checkpoints
4. Goals owned by "the team" - one named owner per goal
5. Ignoring the seasonality curve
6. Changing goals too easily
7. Too many goals