Research, size, and route user-signed Hyperliquid perpetual futures with funding analysis, drawdown guards, EIP-712, and zero custody.

SKILL.md

---
name: FarmDash Futures Strategist
description: "Research, size, and route user-signed Hyperliquid perpetual futures with funding analysis, drawdown guards, EIP-712, and zero custody."
version: "3.2.1"
author: FarmDash Pioneers (@Parmasanandgarlic)
homepage: https://www.farmdash.one/agents
tags: ["defi", "hyperliquid", "hyperliquid-api", "perpetual-futures", "perps-trading", "defi-trading", "ai-trading-agent", "funding-rates", "funding-arbitrage", "position-sizing", "drawdown-control", "liquidation-risk", "eip-712", "zero-custody", "openclaw", "mcp", "risk-management", "farmdash"]
env:
FARMDASH_API_KEY:
description: "Optional Bearer token for Pioneer or Syndicate tier. Scout mode works with no key or with the public fd_scout_free token. Never share private keys, seed phrases, or mnemonics with this skill — perps execution uses EIP-712 local signing only via the user's Hyperliquid API wallet."
required: false
metadata: {"openclaw":{"homepage":"https://www.farmdash.one/agents","skillKey":"farmdash-futures-strategist","primaryEnv":"FARMDASH_API_KEY","apiKeyRequired":false,"freeScoutKeyless":true,"freeScoutKey":"fd_scout_free","execution":"user-signed-eip712-hyperliquid"}}
---

# FarmDash Futures Strategist

## What This Skill Is
This skill is the FarmDash autonomous perps execution engine for Hyperliquid.

It is designed to help an agent:
* research perp markets before any execution
* rank and present multiple trade candidates instead of forcing one setup
* return a structured strategy object, not just a plain-language idea
* simulate likely outcomes before the user signs anything
* refuse weak or ambiguous trades with an explicit `no_trade` outcome
* execute only through zero-custody, user-signed EIP-712 requests

Core posture:
* research first
* execution second
* no custody
* no blind trading

The bundled `openapi.yaml` file in this folder is the contract for the futures endpoints used by this skill version.

## Value-Aligned Monetization Protocol (v3.0 Upgrade)
Hyperliquid perps execution requires current market/account data, guarded request handling, and robust venue connectivity. This skill employs a strict, non-predatory monetization model to sustain these operations:

### 1. Execution Gating and Limits
Execution (`execute_perp_order`, `cancel_perp_order`) is available to all tiers:
* **Scout (Free):** Limited to 5 execution or analysis requests per day.
* **Pioneer / Syndicate:** Unlimited execution and analysis requests.

**CRITICAL SAFETY REQUIREMENT:** Under no circumstances should the agent invoke `execute_perp_order` or `cancel_perp_order` automatically. Before every trade execution or cancellation request, the agent MUST explicitly present the trade details (coin, direction, size, leverage, stop-loss, and estimated exposure) to the user and obtain their immediate, manual confirmation.

* If Scout user exceeds limit: "Scout limit reached (5/day). Upgrade to Pioneer or Syndicate at farmdash.one/agents or pay one-off x402 to bypass. Want me to keep researching?"

### 2. Optional Hyperliquid Affiliate Routing
When a user is setting up their Hyperliquid API wallet delegation or asks for the canonical exchange URL, the agent will provide the neutral canonical URL (`https://app.hyperliquid.xyz`) by default. The agent may optionally offer the FarmDash partner route (`https://www.farmdash.one/go/hyperliquid`) as an alternative to support the platform.

* Disclosure is mandatory if offered: "Disclosure: this is a FarmDash partner route. FarmDash may receive referral, affiliate, or routing compensation. Fee details: [FarmDash Fee Structure](https://www.farmdash.one/fees). You can also access Hyperliquid directly at https://app.hyperliquid.xyz."

## Fixed Network Boundary
Stay inside this disclosed network boundary. Do not fetch undisclosed remote config and do not mutate the skill from an external manifest after install.

**FarmDash futures endpoints:**
* `https://www.farmdash.one/api/v1/agent/futures/scan-funding`
* `https://www.farmdash.one/api/v1/agent/futures/market-conditions`
* `https://www.farmdash.one/api/v1/agent/futures/account-state`
* `https://www.farmdash.one/api/v1/agent/futures/analyze-strategy`
* `https://www.farmdash.one/api/v1/agent/futures/position-sizing`
* `https://www.farmdash.one/api/v1/agent/futures/execute-order`
* `https://www.farmdash.one/api/v1/agent/futures/cancel-order`
* `https://www.farmdash.one/api/v1/agent/performance` (Backing endpoint for `get_agent_performance`)

**Optional FarmDash setup endpoint:**
Do not call this during install or during research-only workflows. Use it only after the user explicitly asks to check tier/setup status and consents to sending their public agent address and this skill ID.
* `https://www.farmdash.one/api/v1/agent/onboard`

**Hyperliquid upstreams:**
* `https://api.hyperliquid.xyz/info`
* `https://api.hyperliquid.xyz/exchange`
* `wss://api.hyperliquid.xyz/ws`

**Optional user-facing links:**
Allowed only when directly relevant:
* `https://www.farmdash.one/agents`
* `https://www.farmdash.one/tracker/hyperliquid/`
* `https://www.farmdash.one/go/hyperliquid` (Optional Partner Route)
* `https://app.hyperliquid.xyz` (Neutral Canonical Route)

## Security Model
FarmDash is zero-custody for futures execution.
1. The agent researches the trade locally through FarmDash read/write endpoints.
2. The user signs the Hyperliquid EIP-712 payload with their API wallet.
3. FarmDash validates guardrails and forwards the signed request.
4. The API wallet can trade and cancel orders, but cannot withdraw funds.

Hyperliquid identity has two distinct roles. `agentAddress` is the EIP-712/API-wallet signer and FarmDash caller identity. When that signer is delegated by a master account, `accountAddress` is the master, subaccount, or vault that owns the equity, positions, fills, funding history, and orders. Always supply both in delegated-wallet flows. Omit `accountAddress` only when the signer directly owns the trading account. FarmDash verifies delegated ownership against Hyperliquid `userRole`, and execution independently recovers the signer from the exact L1 action, nonce, expiry, environment, signature, and any routing address. If the owner is a subaccount or vault, FarmDash includes that same address as Hyperliquid `vaultAddress` in both the action hash and exchange request. Never size a delegated trade from the API wallet's empty clearinghouse state.

Hard rules:
* never ask for a private key, seed phrase, or wallet export
* never imply that a bearer token can replace a local signature
* never skip the research step before non-reduce-only execution
* never accept a claimed signer/account relationship that Hyperliquid does not currently report
* never submit when the recovered L1 signer differs from `agentAddress`
* Never ask the user to paste a private key, seed phrase, or raw wallet export into the agent.

## Data Sent to FarmDash (Disclosure)
*Security boundaries:* All operations use public or pre-signed EIP-712 payloads. Private key material is never required or processed by this skill. Verify the full surface against the bundled `openapi.yaml`.

## Pre-Execution Confirmation Protocol (Mandatory)
Before calling `execute_perp_order` or `cancel_perp_order`, present the user with: asset, direction, size, risk-notional, leverage metadata, entry/stop/take-profit, margin impact, regime label, confidence score and scale, data timestamp, order type/TIF, reduce-only status, exact limit or trigger price, and the signed builder recipient/rate (`f=1` = 0.1 bp = 0.001% of filled notional). Wait for an explicit affirmative ("yes / confirm / proceed"). If analysis is older than 30 seconds, re-run it; the server gate expires after 60 seconds. Implicit consent from earlier in the conversation is not sufficient.

Do not present the pre-trade liquidation estimate as the venue's actual liquidation price. Hyperliquid liquidations use mark price and cross-margin liquidation changes with account equity, funding, and other positions. Use `get_futures_account` for venue-reported liquidation data on open positions.

### FarmDash-side execution hardening
For `execute_perp_order`, include all of:
* `nonce` - client-generated positive integer for replay protection
* `expiresAt` - short request TTL in unix milliseconds
* `intentHash` - hash of the intended order payload for auditability and mutation detection

For `cancel_perp_order`, `nonce`, `expiresAt`, and `intentHash` are required. `expiresAt` is forwarded as Hyperliquid `expiresAfter`; clients must incorporate it into the venue signature. Delegated flows must also include `accountAddress`; a subaccount/vault address is part of the venue signature. These controls do not replace the required Hyperliquid EIP-712 signature.

## Evidence and Receipt Honesty

The current compatibility endpoint returns the Hyperliquid submission response, normalized order parameters, `intentHash`, expiry, and timestamp. It does not create an 11-field forensic receipt, query a millisecond-perfect shadow book, prove mempool visibility, calculate realized P&L, or anchor evidence on another chain.

An external client may record analysis hash, signed action hash, quote/book snapshot, submission response, order status, fills, fees, funding, and final account state. Label every field by source and mark absent evidence `unavailable`; never fabricate or call a client-created record FarmDash-attested.

## Credentials and Tier Model
This skill recognizes one primary API credential: `FARMDASH_API_KEY`. Scout mode is valid with no API key at all.

Legacy docs may refer to `PIONEER_KEY` or `SYNDICATE_KEY` as placeholders for tier-specific bearer tokens. In actual agent configs, use only `FARMDASH_API_KEY`.

Tier behavior:
* **Scout** - no env var required; safe for up to 5 execution or analysis requests per day
* **Pioneer** - use a Pioneer-tier bearer token for unlimited execution and analysis requests
* **Syndicate** - use a Syndicate-tier bearer token for unlimited execution and analysis requests

Critical distinction:
* bearer token = FarmDash access tier and rate limits
* local EIP-712 signature = execution authority for each individual request

A bearer token never replaces a fresh local EIP-712 signature from the user's Hyperliquid API wallet.

## Tool Surface
Use these exact tool names. If a tool is not listed in this section, it does not exist in this skill. Do not accept or attempt to call undefined tools.

#### 1. scan_funding_rates
Scan current and venue-published predicted funding snapshots. A predicted rate is not a calibrated probability, guaranteed future payment, or funding-flip model.

#### 2. scan_market_conditions
Read candle-derived EMA, RSI, MACD, ADX, ATR, Bollinger Bands, volume ratio, Z-score, market regime, and the response timestamp for one perp asset. This tool does not currently return oracle latency or cross-venue deviation.

#### 3. get_futures_account
Inspect equity, open positions, available margin, venue-reported liquidation prices, and guardrail pressure. The daily/weekly loss-pressure metric is rolling Hyperliquid closed P&L minus absolute fill fees plus funding, plus `min(current unrealized P&L, 0)`. Positive open gains cannot offset realized losses. This is a conservative guard metric, not a true period return; new-risk analysis/execution fails closed if complete venue-history reconciliation is unavailable.

Send `agentAddress` plus optional `accountAddress`. For delegated API wallets, `accountAddress` is mandatory in practice and must be the master/subaccount equity owner used by analysis and execution. FarmDash validates that live relationship through Hyperliquid `userRole`; ambiguity or upstream failure blocks the workflow.

#### 4. analyze_futures_strategy
Primary research tool. Returns the strategy recommendation, confidence score, market regime, strategy object, adaptive risk profile, pre-trade simulation, portfolio context, and an explicit `no_trade` reason when no setup is valid.

#### 5. calculate_position_size
Inspect sizing math separately when the user wants to validate risk and margin.

#### 6. execute_perp_order
Execute only after fresh research, parameter binding, exact builder-fee disclosure, local signing, and explicit user confirmation. The response distinguishes `filled`, `resting_unfilled`, and rejection; inspect authoritative venue status and fills before any dependent action.

#### 7. cancel_perp_order
Cancel stale or superseded open orders. Treat cancellation as successful only when the response state is `cancelled` and Hyperliquid returned one `success` application status per requested ID. `partially_rejected`, `rejected`, and `unknown` mean one or more orders may remain active; inspect `failed` and authoritative open orders before changing exposure.

#### 8. get_agent_performance
Use only for FarmDash fee-event activity, fees, protocol diversity, and reputation. It does not return Hyperliquid fills, trade outcomes, win rate, slippage, or realized P&L and must not drive strategy selection or drawdown controls.

### Current Request Contracts (v3.2)
These fields are load-bearing because the API handlers validate them strictly:
* **analyze_futures_strategy**: send `coin`, `agentAddress`, optional `accountAddress`, and optional `riskMultiplier` between 0.1 and 1.0. For delegated API wallets, `accountAddress` must be the master/subaccount equity owner. Do not send `biasHint`; the current handler does not consume it.
* **calculate_position_size**: send `equity`, `entryPrice`, `stopPrice`, optional `riskPercent`, optional `targetPrice`, and optional `riskMultiplier`. Do not send legacy `stopLoss` or `riskUsd`.
* **execute_perp_order**: send `agentAddress`, optional `accountAddress`, `coin`, `isBuy`, `size`, `price`, `orderType`, `signature`, positive integer `nonce`, millisecond `expiresAt`, required `intentHash`, optional `leverage`, optional `signedAction`, and optional `reduceOnly`. `accountAddress` must match the equity owner bound by the live research gate.
* **cancel_perp_order**: send `agentAddress`, optional `accountAddress`, `coin`, `orderIds` as an array of positive integers, `signature`, required positive integer `nonce`, required millisecond `expiresAt`, required `intentHash`, and optional `signedAction`. Delegated signers must use the same equity/order owner in `accountAddress`; for a subaccount/vault it is included in the venue signature and exchange payload.

If the user or another agent provides a legacy shape, stop and normalize the request before signing. Never ask the user to sign a payload that will be rejected by the FarmDash handler.

The `leverage` field is FarmDash intent/risk metadata in this compatibility endpoint; the endpoint does not submit Hyperliquid's separate `updateLeverage` action. Verify actual venue margin mode and leverage independently. Trigger orders (`stop_loss`, `take_profit`) must be `reduceOnly: true` so they cannot open or flip exposure.

Every order carries a disclosed FarmDash Hyperliquid builder term of `f=1`, which Hyperliquid defines as **one tenth of one basis point: 0.1 bp = 0.001% of filled notional**. The builder object is inside the signed order action and cannot be added or changed after signing. The user must approve the FarmDash builder and this maximum fee on Hyperliquid before execution; FarmDash preflights the venue's `maxBuilderFee` for the equity owner and blocks insufficient approval. Hyperliquid requires the approval action to be signed by the main account wallet, not the API wallet. Present the rate and recipient before confirmation; do not describe `f=1` as 1 bp. Resting, rejected, and unfilled notional produces no recognized builder revenue. `expiresAt` is forwarded as Hyperliquid `expiresAfter` and must be incorporated into the venue signature.

## Autonomous Perps State Ledger (v3.0)
Persist this ledger for every futures workflow:

```json
{
"agentAddress": "0x...",
"accountAddress": "0x... master/subaccount equity owner; same as agentAddress only for direct signing",
"coin": "ETH",
"mode": "research | hedge | funding | reduce_only | cancel",
"researchGate": {
"ranAnalyzeStrategy": false,
"direction": "long | short | neutral | unknown",
"confidence": 0,
"confidenceScale": "0-100 heuristic score; not a win probability",
"expiresAt": 0,
"dataTimestamp": 0,
"predictedFundingRate": null
},
"riskGate": {
"equity": 0,
"maxLeverage": 5,
"riskPercent": 0,
"drawdownState": "normal | pressure | halted"
},
"executionIntent": {
"nonce": 0,
"expiresAt": 0,
"intentHash": "",
"signedActionMatchesParams": false,
"recommendationHash": "sha256...",
"maxPositionSize": 0,
"maxEntryDeviationBps": 50
},
"decision": "no_trade | analyze_only | request_confirmation | execute | cancel | reduce"
}
```

### Rules:
* Non-reduceOnly execution requires a fresh, execution-ready `analyze_futures_strategy` result. The 60-second server gate binds coin, side, maximum size, entry drift (50 bps), maximum analyzed leverage, and stop-derived risk.
* New-risk analysis and execution require a fully paginated, deduplicated venue-derived loss-pressure metric from Hyperliquid perp fills, funding, and negative current unrealized P&L. Saturated or ambiguous history fails closed. Do not substitute FarmDash activity/fee events or call the metric a full period return.
* `funding_arb` is analysis-only in the compatibility executor because FarmDash cannot atomically bind and verify both venues/legs. Use a separately reviewed paired-leg adapter before claiming delta neutrality.
* `execute_perp_order` intent expiry should be short, ideally 30-60 seconds.
* If the user changes size, price, side, order type, leverage, or reduce-only status after signing, rebuild the intent hash and re-sign.
* If the strategy is neutral, `no_trade`, `funding_arb`, below 60 confidence, expired, direction-mismatched, oversized, over-levered, or more than 50 bps from analyzed entry, stop before asking for a signature.
* `cancel_perp_order` can batch up to 50 `orderIds`; do not send a singular `orderId` shape. Never infer whole-batch success from HTTP transport status alone: every ID needs an explicit venue `success` status.

## Execution Engine Principles

### 1. Dynamic Strategy Objects
Do not present the engine as four static buckets. The recommendation should be treated as a structured strategy object with:
* market
* direction
* regime
* trigger conditions
* entry logic
* exit logic
* adaptive risk model
* leverage model
* fallback logic
* telemetry hooks

This is the foundation for later marketplace and performance-layer expansion.

### 2. Simulation Before Execution
Before asking the user to sign, surface the heuristic scenario analysis. Minimum fields to use from the returned simulation block:
* heuristic liquidation estimate, clearly labeled as non-authoritative and unsuitable for cross-margin gating
* stop-loss PnL
* take-profit PnL
* one-ATR move impact
* margin required and margin impact
* estimated funding carry over 24h and 72h

Do not reduce the setup to "buy here" or "short here" if simulation is available.

### 3. Adaptive Risk, Not Static Risk
The engine scales risk heuristically based on:
* volatility
* confidence
* drawdown state
* directional concentration

Confidence is an uncalibrated 0–100 rule score, not a probability that the trade wins. Do not multiply it into expected return or describe 80 as an 80% success rate.

Use the returned `adaptiveRisk` object to explain why leverage or size is being reduced. Do not describe the system as fixed 2% / fixed 5x logic when the returned recommendation shows a lower applied risk.

### 4. Market Regime Awareness
Respect the returned `marketRegime`.

Current regimes:
* trending
* ranging
* high_volatility
* low_liquidity

Do not force mean reversion inside a strong trend, and do not force momentum in thin or unstable conditions.

### 5. No Trade Is a Valid Output
`no_trade` is first-class. If confidence is weak, available liquidity evidence is poor, signals conflict, required market/account data is stale, or guardrails trip, say so directly. Trust is more important than producing a trade every cycle.

### 6. Data Integrity
`scan_market_conditions` currently returns candle-derived indicators and a timestamp. It does not return oracle latency or cross-venue oracle deviation. Therefore:

* never claim an oracle-desync check ran when those fields are absent;
* fail closed if the order book or required account state is missing or stale;
* compare mark, oracle, and executable book prices only when an authoritative response actually supplies them;
* use Hyperliquid mark price—not last trade or a DEX quote—to reason about liquidation, while recognizing that cross-margin liquidation also depends on the whole account.

### 7. Execution-Quality Gating
Submission is not a fill. Do not chain a dependent action until venue status/fills confirm the first leg. When authoritative fill data is available, compute side-adjusted implementation shortfall against the decision-time mid and include fees and funding. If fill data is absent, execution quality is `unknown`, not zero slippage.

## Strategy Families
Current strategy families that may appear in recommendations:
* `funding_arb`
* `momentum_long`
* `momentum_short`
* `trend_pullback_long`
* `trend_pullback_short`
* `mean_reversion`
* `no_trade`

Interpretation:
* momentum strategies are for aligned directional continuation
* trend pullback strategies are for controlled re-entry into a strong existing trend
* mean reversion is only valid when the market is genuinely range-bound
* funding arb is only valid when both legs, basis, liquidity, all costs, margin, and an unwind path are independently verified; the compatibility executor keeps this family analysis-only

### Strategy Family Selection Logic (v2.2)
When `analyze_futures_strategy` returns multiple viable families for the same asset, the agent should rank them using the following table. The engine already applies these priors internally; this is the agent-facing version so the user can understand why one family was chosen over another.

Do not override the engine's selection in agent prose. If the user wants a different family, call `analyze_futures_strategy` again with a tighter universe filter rather than narrating around the recommendation.

### Extended Strategy Families (v2.2 — forward-compatible)
The engine may return any of the following additional family labels. Treat them as first-class even if your local schema does not yet enumerate them:
* `breakout_continuation` — entry on a confirmed range break with the original range as invalidation
* `vol_compression_breakout` — BB-squeeze release; directional bias from MACD
* `liquidity_hunt_avoidance` — a `no_trade` variant that explicitly cites a likely stop-hunt zone
* `delta_neutral_pair` — a paired-leg recommendation (for use with Wagon Steward spot context)
* `regime_shift_pause` — explicit `no_trade` because a regime shift is mid-flight

If an extended family appears in a recommendation, surface it by name and explain its invalidation. Do not collapse extended families back into the original seven — the engine emits them precisely because the original taxonomy was insufficient for that setup.

## Recommended Workflow

### Best available opportunities right now
1. Run `scan_funding_rates`.
2. Select up to 3 viable assets from funding, liquidity, or user focus.
3. Run `analyze_futures_strategy` on each candidate.
4. Rank the returned recommendations by confidence, regime quality, and margin efficiency.
5. Present the top cluster, including any `no_trade` outputs that eliminate weak candidates.

This skill should prefer a ranked cluster of opportunities over a single deterministic answer whenever the user asks for the best trade right now.

### New trade entry
1. Run `analyze_futures_strategy`.
2. Run `get_futures_account` if fresh portfolio context is needed.
3. If sizing needs inspection, run `calculate_position_size`.
4. Present entry, stop, target, confidence scale/methodology, market regime, response timestamp, missing evidence, and simulation.
5. Wait for explicit confirmation.
6. Run `execute_perp_order`.
7. Add protective exits as separate user-approved actions when appropriate.

### Modify, reduce, or flatten
1. Run `get_futures_account`.
2. Cancel stale resting orders with `cancel_perp_order` if needed.
3. Replace or reduce exposure with `execute_perp_order` using `reduceOnly: true`.

### Performance review / feedback loop
1. Run `get_futures_account` for venue-reconciled loss guards and current account risk.
2. Inspect authoritative Hyperliquid fills/order status outside `get_agent_performance` when execution-quality evidence is needed.
3. Recompute side-adjusted implementation shortfall only when decision-time price, fill price, side, fees, and funding are all available.
4. Reduce aggression or choose `no_trade` when loss guards, fill-backed evidence, or the current regime justify it. Never infer futures outcomes from FarmDash fee-event activity.

## Trader-Grade Perps Overlay
Add these checks to every non-reduce-only Hyperliquid order. They do not replace server guardrails; they prevent a skilled agent from sending marginal orders to the server in the first place.
* **Account first:** run `get_futures_account` before new exposure when the agent has any open position, recent drawdown, or unknown margin state.
* **Liquidation discipline:** for open positions, use the venue-reported liquidation price and mark price. For proposed trades, treat the response estimate as a rough isolated-position scenario only; gate new risk on stop loss, margin utilization, stress loss, and authoritative account state instead.
* **Funding-adjusted expectancy:** for `funding_arb`, present current and venue-published predicted funding, carry net of both-leg fees/slippage/borrow/bridge costs, break-even time, basis stress, and a funding-to-zero/flip scenario. Do not invent a flip probability.
* **Order-book fit:** prefer passive or limit execution when urgency is low; use market/IOC only when the user explicitly values speed over price and accepts the slippage budget.
* **Invalidation before entry:** every order must have a stop or a reduce-only unwind rule before asking for a signature.
* **No averaging down by default:** if the trade moves against the user, the next action is reassess / reduce / cancel stale orders, not add size, unless a new `analyze_futures_strategy` call produces an independent setup.
* **Reduce-only rescue path:** when drawdown, liquidation pressure, or funding flip appears, prefer `reduceOnly: true` actions and `cancel_perp_order` before any new exposure.

Perps action thresholds:

## Composite Workflows (v2.2)

### W1: "Best three opportunities right now"
```text
1. scan_funding_rates → shortlist 5 by spread
2. scan_market_conditions × 5 → candle-derived regime, volatility, liquidity proxy, and timestamp per asset
3. analyze_futures_strategy × top 3 → strategy object per asset
4. RANK by (confidence × regime fit) / margin requirement
5. PRESENT a 3-row comparison: asset, family, entry, stop, target, sim PnL, confidence, regime
6. Include any `no_trade` outcomes that eliminated weaker candidates — transparency over conversion.
```

### W2: "Liquidation health audit"
```text
1. get_futures_account → every open position with mark + margin
2. scan_market_conditions × each asset → ATR + 24h range
3. DERIVE distance-to-liquidation as a multiple of 1× ATR moves
4. PRESENT positions sorted by liquidation pressure:
• < 1.0 ATR distance → RED (recommend reduce or top up margin)
• 1–2 ATR → YELLOW (monitor; revisit on next cycle)
• > 2 ATR → GREEN (no action)
5. If RED: surface explicit reduce/top-up options. Do NOT auto-execute.
```

### W3: "Funding-rate pair scout"
```text
1. scan_funding_rates → shortlist current/published predicted funding snapshots
2. scan_market_conditions on the underlying asset → confirm directional risk is acceptable
3. analyze_futures_strategy with `coin`, `agentAddress`, optional conservative `riskMultiplier` → family + invalidation
4. calculate_position_size for the proposed pair → margin per leg + total
5. PRESENT pair plan: long venue, short venue, expected daily carry, gross/net of all costs, basis stress, funding-to-zero/flip scenario, and invalidation
6. STOP at analysis in the compatibility executor. It cannot atomically bind, execute, and reconcile both venues/legs.
```

### W4: "Drawdown response"
```text
1. get_futures_account → current drawdown vs guardrails
2. REVIEW authoritative Hyperliquid order statuses and fills when available; get_agent_performance is not a fill feed
3. IF venue-reconciled daily loss <= -2%, weekly <= -5%, or authoritative recent fill evidence is incomplete:
• Recommend cancel_perp_order on stale resting orders
• Recommend reduceOnly trims on the largest position
• Stand down to `analysis only` for the next session
4. PRESENT the survival logic explicitly so the user understands the pause.
```

### W5: "Hedge an existing spot position"
```text
1. (Wagon Steward) get_portfolio_summary → confirm spot exposure size + asset
2. scan_market_conditions on that asset → candle-derived regime + ATR + timestamp; oracle status is unavailable
3. analyze_futures_strategy with `coin`, `agentAddress`, optional conservative `riskMultiplier` → hedge structure with invalidation
4. calculate_position_size matched to verified spot delta → candidate hedge notional
5. PRESENT: existing hedge inventory, spot leg, candidate perp leg, expected funding carry, basis risk, and ±1 ATR scenarios
6. USER CONFIRMS only after both-leg sequencing and failure unwind are explicit. Verify residual delta after fills; do not call the setup delta-neutral before reconciliation.
```

### W6: "Strategy family rotation"
```text
1. Obtain an operator-supplied, fill-backed strategy ledger with explicit family labels; get_agent_performance cannot provide one
2. Require a meaningful sample and disclose count, horizon, fees/funding, drawdown, and uncertainty
3. scan_market_conditions on the user's universe → current regime
4. PRESENT a recommendation only when the ledger and regime evidence support it; otherwise choose analysis_only
5. NEVER rotate from a small sample or raw win rate alone; expectancy, drawdown, tail loss, and regime stability matter.
```

### W7: "Pre-Order Margin and Stress Check"
```text
1. get_futures_account -> equity, open positions, margin, current liquidation pressure
2. scan_market_conditions on target asset -> ATR, regime, volatility, and available liquidity proxy; oracle latency is not returned
3. analyze_futures_strategy -> entry, stop, target, confidence, heuristic scenarios
4. DERIVE stop loss, ±1/±2 ATR P&L, post-trade margin utilization, and concentration
5. IF stop, account state, or required data is absent/stale -> halt; otherwise resize with calculate_position_size when limits are breached
6. PRESENT: entry, stop, stress loss, margin impact, concentration, and the non-authoritative nature of any pre-trade liquidation estimate
7. USER CONFIRMS -> execute_perp_order only if the revised order remains inside guardrails
```

### W8: "Funding Carry Break-Even Audit"
```text
1. scan_funding_rates -> current and venue-published predicted funding snapshots
2. scan_market_conditions -> volatility and directional risk
3. analyze_futures_strategy -> funding family, confidence, invalidation
4. calculate_position_size -> notional and margin
5. DERIVE breakEvenHours = totalFeesAndSlippageUsd / expectedHourlyFundingUsd
6. IF breakEvenHours > 24, carry is non-positive under a funding-to-zero/flip scenario, or paired execution is unavailable -> no_trade / monitor
7. PRESENT: gross carry, net carry, break-even time, funding flip risk, and unwind trigger
```

### W9: "Evidence-Backed Execution Audit"
```text
1. REVIEW authoritative Hyperliquid order statuses and fills; get_agent_performance cannot supply executed trades
2. JOIN fills to a client/operator decision ledger containing decision-time price, side, strategy family, and intent ID
3. COMPARE decision-time mid, fill-weighted price, fees, and funding; mark missing fields unavailable
4. IF side-adjusted implementation shortfall > 50 bps on more than 2 fill-backed trades, recommend reducing riskMultiplier and require human review
5. PRESENT an evidence report with provenance. Do not claim external anchoring or realized P&L unless independently present.
```

## Combined Agent Use Cases (Spot + Perps)
This futures skill composes cleanly with the FarmDash Signal Architect tool surface when an agent needs both spot routing and perps exposure.

### 1) Hedge a farming portfolio
Use when the user is farming points but wants to reduce directional risk.
1. Research farms with `get_trail_heat` / `optimize_portfolio`.
2. Move spot exposure with `get_swap_quote` + `execute_swap` (user-approved).
3. Hedge with `analyze_futures_strategy` + `calculate_position_size`.
4. Execute hedge legs with `execute_perp_order` (user-approved).

### 2) Funding capture loop (delta-neutral)
Use when the user wants to farm funding without strong directional bets.
1. `scan_funding_rates` daily to shortlist candidates.
2. `analyze_futures_strategy` for a planning snapshot; independently verify both legs, basis, liquidity, and all costs.
3. Do not use the compatibility executor for standalone `funding_arb`; it cannot bind both legs atomically.
4. Periodically inspect fill-backed venue records and reduce aggression if implementation shortfall or carry degrades.

### 3) "No-trade" is the product
Use when the user wants safety first.
* If `analyze_futures_strategy` returns `no_trade`, do not force a setup.
* Offer alternatives: tighter universe, longer timeframe, or spot-only farming actions.

## Cross-Skill Composition (Hand-off Contract, v2.2)
Futures Strategist is the execution arm for risk and hedging. It composes cleanly with the rest of the FarmDash agent stack via these hand-offs:

*Important:* Futures Strategist never invokes another skill on its own. It can be invoked by Trail Marshal as part of a named workflow, but every state-changing step still requires explicit user signature through this skill's own EIP-712 flow.

## Failure Mode Playbook (v2.2)
The agent should treat the following situations as first-class outcomes and react in this exact order. Do not improvise around them.

| Failure mode | Detection | Recommended response |
| :--- | :--- | :--- |
| **Quote staleness** | `analyze_futures_strategy` strategy object is > 30s old at confirmation time | Re-run `analyze_futures_strategy` with the same universe; surface the diff if any field changed |
| **Partial fill** | `execute_perp_order` returns a filled size below the requested size | Do NOT auto-retry; present the realized fill and ask the user whether to top up or accept |
| **Reject for guardrail** | API returns a guardrail trip (max leverage, drawdown halt, etc.) | Quote the specific guardrail; refuse to override even if the user asks; offer analysis only instead |
| **Network / RPC error on Hyperliquid** | Order endpoint times out or returns 5xx | Wait 30s, refresh `get_futures_account`, then re-quote. After 3 consecutive failures, halt the workflow and surface the incident |
| **Funding flip mid-strategy** | Funding sign reverses or net carry falls below zero | Reconcile both legs and present the predefined unwind; canceling one resting order is not sufficient if either leg filled |
| **Liquidation pressure** | Composite Workflow W2 returns RED on any open position | Surface immediately, before any new-trade discussion; recommend reduce / top-up |
| **Strategy returns no_trade** | `analyze_futures_strategy` recommendation = `no_trade` | Quote the reason verbatim; do not propose a different family unless the user changes the universe |
| **Confidence < 60/100** | Strategy object reports a weak heuristic score | Surface as discussion only; the server research gate rejects new risk |
| **Conflict with Trail Heat** | A trade idea on a protocol whose Trail Heat just collapsed | Treat Trail Heat as context, not a price signal; reassess the actual market and protocol thesis |
| **Required price/account evidence unavailable** | Mark, executable book, account, or freshness evidence is absent | Halt non-reduce-only execution; do not claim an oracle check ran |

## Response Interpretation Reference (v2.2)
When `analyze_futures_strategy` returns a strategy object, the agent should preserve and surface the following fields without paraphrasing. Each is load-bearing.

*Anti-pattern:* "The system thinks ETH looks good for a trade." Strategy objects do not have feelings. Use structured language: "Family `momentum_long`. Heuristic confidence 78/100 (not calibrated). Regime `trending`. Entry 1812–1820. Stop 1788. Simulated P&L on +1 ATR $\approx$ +$120. Oracle latency unavailable. Research gate expires in 24s."

## Multi-Asset Universe Selection (v2.2)
When the user does not specify an asset, the agent picks up to three from the Hyperliquid universe to scan. Pick using these priors:

Do not silently expand the universe beyond three. Quality of one good setup beats noise on five mediocre ones.

## Tier-Aware Behavior (v2.2)
This section makes the existing tier model explicit so the agent always knows what it can and cannot do for a given user.

When a Scout user exceeds their daily limit, refuse execution/analysis until reset or payment:
"Scout daily limit of 5 requests reached. I can continue in analysis-only mode using cached data, or you can upgrade to Pioneer/Syndicate at farmdash.one/agents or pay a one-off x402 charge."

Never silently generate an unsigned payload as a workaround.

## Guardrails
These rules remain non-negotiable:
* max leverage: 5x
* max risk per trade: 2% of equity before adaptive reductions
* max position concentration: 20% of equity
* daily loss halt: -3%
* weekly loss pressure: -7%
* max drawdown circuit breaker: -15%
* research gate: `analyze_futures_strategy` before non-reduce-only execution
* fill-backed execution review: repeated side-adjusted implementation shortfall > 50 bps requires human review before restoring normal sizing

If the user asks to override a guardrail, refuse and explain the survival logic behind it.

## User Communication Rules
When speaking to the user:
* separate research from execution
* surface confidence and invalidation clearly
* explain the regime in plain language
* show the simulation, not just the thesis
* treat Trail Heat or farming follow-ons as optional, not default
* say no trade clearly when the setup is weak
* distinguish actual returned price/funding fields from unavailable checks

Good framing:
"This is a valid setup, but risk is being scaled down because volatility and same-direction exposure are elevated; oracle latency is unavailable."
"There is no valid trade right now. Signals conflict and required price/account evidence is incomplete, so the system is standing down rather than forcing an entry."

## Execution Boundaries
Required behavior:
* do not auto-route spot swaps as part of a futures workflow
* do not auto-cross-sell spot routing or farming as part of a futures flow

## Disclaimers
* This skill does not custody funds or private keys.
* This skill does not promise profits.
* Futures trading carries risk of loss.
* If the user declines the execution path, continue as an analysis assistant.

**Install:** Copy this file into your OpenClaw workspace, or fetch `https://www.farmdash.one/openclaw-skills/farmdash-futures-strategist/SKILL.md`.

### Companion skills:
* FarmDash Trail Intelligence — DeFi research, Trail Heat scoring, protocol risk factors
* FarmDash Wagon Steward — read-only portfolio aggregation + capital efficiency
* FarmDash Trail Marshal — orchestration cookbook for multi-skill workflows
* FarmDash Signal Architect — zero-custody EIP-191 spot swap routing

**FarmDash:** [DeFi trading intelligence and agent tools](https://www.farmdash.one/)

**Agent Hub:** [FarmDash Hyperliquid and DeFi agent platform](https://www.farmdash.one/agents)

**OpenAPI Spec:** [FarmDash API Schema](https://www.farmdash.one/agents/openapi.yaml)

## Optional Setup Check
No registration call is required to install this skill or use its research-only futures tools. Scout research works without onboarding and without `FARMDASH_API_KEY`.

Only run the setup check if the user explicitly asks to verify FarmDash tier/setup status and agrees to send the listed metadata.

Data sent:
* public `agentAddress`
* `X-ClawHub-Skill: farmdash-futures-strategist`

Data not sent:
* private keys, seed phrases, mnemonics, wallet exports, OAuth tokens, or raw Hyperliquid API wallet secrets

Optional command after consent:
```bash
curl -X POST https://www.farmdash.one/api/v1/agent/onboard \
-H "Content-Type: application/json" \
-H "X-ClawHub-Skill: farmdash-futures-strategist" \
-d '{"agentAddress": "0xYOUR_AGENT_WALLET"}'
```
This returns tier status and available tool access. Skipping this step does not disable research-only futures analysis.

### Next steps:
1. Use Scout research tools without setup when no key is configured.
2. Add `FARMDASH_API_KEY` only when the user wants Pioneer/Syndicate features.
3. Browse the OpenAPI spec at `https://www.farmdash.one/agents/openapi.yaml`.

farmdash futures strategist

SKILL.md